Seijigiri #43: Diplomatic Affairs, Fukuda’s Falling Approval Ratings, and “Gridlock” in the Diet

Filed under: Seijigiri Releases, Trans-Pacific Radio
Posted by Seijigiri at 11:30 pm on Sunday, April 13, 2008

In this edition of Seijigiri, co-hosts Garrett DeOrio and Ken Worsley begin by (very) briefly noting that Japan’s sanctions against North Korea have been extended for six more months, before moving to discuss upcoming diplomatic events.

With Prime Minister Yasuo Fukuda heading to Russia in early May, Foreign Minister Masahiko Komura is currently in Russia making preparations for that meeting. Once Komura returns from Russia, he will be visited by Chinese Foreign Minister Yang Jiechi, who will head to Japan in order to plan for President Hu Jintao’s visit to Japan from May 6. The discussion focuses on what might be on the agendas as well as what, if any, breakthroughs might be made in terms of Japan-China relations.

After that, the discussion focuses on domestic political issues. Now that a Governor has been found for the Bank of Japan, our hosts look at how the process played out and why Fukuda continues to see his approval ratings slide. Why has the LDP been unable to work with the DPJ, when its stubborn insistence on pushing its own agenda seems to be costing it points with the public?

Finally, the question of replacing Fukuda is raised. A recent interview in the Nikkei with former Prime Minister Yashuhiro Nakasone hints that Fukuda does not have much time left. Our hosts speculate on whether Fukuda will last long enough to host the G-8 summit in July, or whether the LDP would be better off with a fresh face attending the meetings.

Once again, thank you for listening.

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Comment by theanphibian

April 14, 2008 @ 1:47 am

I listened to that interview. He is very right in everything he said, but the listener needs to keep in mind that Mr. Harris’s experience is working for an DPJ politician.

I don’t think this affects his impartiality, however, it is unsurprising that his position is favorable to the DPJ.

Comment by MTC

April 14, 2008 @ 12:34 pm

Gentlemen -

A slight slip. The Hashimoto-Obuchi transition was the direct result of the 1998 House of Councillors election. Hashimoto resigned to take responsibility for the unexpectedly large number of lost seats.

Comment by Ken Worsley

April 14, 2008 @ 1:06 pm

MTC,

I don’t think it’s a slip. I meant that there was no lower house election in 1998, when Hashimoto stepped down for Obuchi. The point was meant to be that Fukuda can be replaced without there being a lower house election, so there’s probably no need right now to speculate on whether or not such an election would be called, since it’s clearly not in the LDP’s best interest to hold an election right now.

Comment by Garrett DeOrio

April 14, 2008 @ 9:47 pm

To Theanphibian:

I was actually a little surprised to hear how pro-DPJ Tobias sounded, considering he was kind of hard on them when he appeared on Seijigiri (or at least less biased toward them than I expected) and that he seemed to view them through clear lenses the few times I’ve spoken with him.
That said, his lean toward the DPJ in that interview is, as you said, unsurprising not only because he word for a DPJ member, but also because he seems to have little patience with political backscratching and murkiness, which are the only really finely honed skills the LDP has shown.

Comment by theanphibian

April 21, 2008 @ 8:38 am

lol, political backscratching.

But from a broad perspective, I do understand the point that both Tobias and you guys were making, and it’s not completely 100% unfavorable to the LDP. The big idea here is that we for the first time have genuine competition, and the people like it that way (regardless of what some of the mass media have to say). Half of the point is that the LDP itself will have reform itself to become less corrupt and better serving to their constituents. I don’t know if we have any reason to say they’re doing that right now, but it should happen eventually. Right? Maybe…

Comment by Garrett DeOrio

April 21, 2008 @ 1:32 pm

Agreed. I think it’s fair to talk of a reformist/dinosaur split in the LDP, as many people do, if the reformists get the upper hand, the LDP could very well see its popularity rise. In that case, the only thing tat would worry me would be if the LDP regained enough popularity to allow it to start running the only game in town again. Even if the LDP gets on the right track, having to deal with a viable opponent will keep them honest and be good for the country.

Comment by Mami

April 22, 2008 @ 7:23 am

Determination and practice are the most important thing for politics.
Now,in Japan,stagnation of policy is standing out.
That condition brought the decrease in the approval rating of the prime minister, Fukuda Yasuo.
We nation have to think and ascertain whether present politics especially LDP is good for Japan.

Mami Murata

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