Seijigiri #45: Could a Cabinet Reshuffle Help Fukuda’s Approval Ratings? Problems with the Cabinet, Road Taxes, 59ing in the Diet, and Koizumi is back on the scene

Filed under: Seijigiri Releases, Trans-Pacific Radio
Posted by Seijigiri at 12:25 am on Monday, May 19, 2008

Co-hosts Garrett DeOrio and Ken Worsley are back with the 45th edition of Seijigiri. In this edition, discussion begins by noting that Prime Minister Yasuo Fukuda’s approval ratings remain very low, and considering how a re-shuffle of the Cabinet might help provide a boost to both the Prime Minister and the ruling Liberal Democratic Party’s image.

Damage to the Cabinet’s approval ratings appear to be coming from two main sources. First, the negative impact of Justice Minister Kunio Hatoyama, Defense Minister Shigeru Ishiba, and Health, Labor and Welfare Minister Yoichi Masuzoe’s actions are considered. After that, talk turns to how the LDP is hurting its own image by using its supermajority in the Lower House to override rejections of bills by the opposition-controlled Upper House.

Such overrides are often referred to as “ramming” bills through the Diet in the English media. This procedure is allowed under Article 59 of the Constitution, and thus Garrett has coined the term “to fifty-nine a bill.” Opinion polls show that the public has opposed the LDP’s recent invocation of Article 59. Is this opposition issue-based or does the public see the LDP as abusing its power?

Finally, discussion turns to former Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi, who has been back in the news lately, having formed two new “study groups” that are garnering some attention. Our hosts consider what Mr Koizumi could have up his sleeve, as well as whether the goals of these study groups - such as abolishing the Upper House - are even realistic.

As always, thank you for listening!

Listen Now:


icon for podpress  Seijigiri #45: Play Now | Play in Popup | Download

Related Posts:

3 Comments »

Comments may be subject to moderation and/or approval before appearing. There is no need to post the same comment twice. The site moderator may remove any comment he or she deems inappropriate, without notice.

Comment by theanphibian

May 19, 2008 @ 8:52 am

Your comments about the overall increase of people who don’t support either party reminds me of the current situation in the US. Though they haven’t been the opposition party forever, the dems did recently wrestle back the majority in the Senate.

With a weak majority, they haven’t been doing what they should be doing or what they said they would do. Right now, it seems most of the people who should be completely on board with the party (given the general circumstances and poor performance or the republicans) are taking a cautious stance of not supporting either.

I was really wondering about what would happen with Fukuda when he was appointed. I thought (and still do) that he’s a smart guy and wouldn’t make giant blunders like what Abe did. But at the same time, there wasn’t much room for the LDP to move forward. So it seems that they’ve mostly continued to decline in public opinion by more complicated issues, and Fukuda probably finds himself between a rock and a hard place on the tough issues.

Tobias Harris was mentioning that when people of the LDP say they want a healthy 2-party system, what they really want is a 1.5-party system giving more credence to their legislation by having a rubber stamp opposition. I don’t think we’ll see that with the DPJ, but without unity in their own party perhaps they run a risk of becoming that .5 extra party? I think maybe falling voter approval rating of both is a message from the people that they don’t want to just trade one bad choice for another. Hopefully we’ll see democracy work itself out in the end. Natural selection, right?

That majority of voters who support neither party certainly seems like a volatile void. Koizumi to the rescue? lol

I appreciate the audio posts, as always!

Comment by Glenn

May 20, 2008 @ 5:59 pm

Loved the show! There’s lots to think about behind the scenes in Japanese politics right now.

I’m just wondering - is talk of Koizumi coming back to be Prime Minister for real? Would it even be legal for him to be Prime Minister again? Does he need to start a new party to be PM again, and is it even legal then? I don’t know how these laws work.

Comment by Garrett DeOrio

May 21, 2008 @ 1:25 pm

There would be nothing illegal about it. There are no term limits per se under the law. What “pushed” Koizumi out before were term limits within the LDP, term limits that now limit party presidents to two three-year terms (the length was changed from two to three years while Koizumi was PM.) I’ll have to check to say with certainty whether those terms are consecutive or not. Even if they were, the LDP could change its rules again if the party wanted Koizumi to be PM again.

At this point, it’s hard to say just how real the rumors and speculation are.

RSS feed for comments on this post. TrackBack URI

Leave a comment

XHTML: You can use these tags: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <code> <em> <i> <strike> <strong>